It’s not time to put your long underwear away yet; winter is returning. Last weekend, skiers enjoyed spring conditions around sunny aspects of Tuckerman Ravine. This weekend will be vastly different and those venturing into terrain should be prepared for winter conditions. The next few days will bring cold temperatures, strong winds, elevated avalanche hazard, and the potential for the first big storm of the winter.
Saturday’s forecast is cold and windy. Skies will clear throughout the day with temperatures on the summit bottoming out around -10F at daybreak. The cold will remain with winds hovering around 50mph into the evening, leaving the current windchill advisory in effect until 7pm Saturday. Clear skies overnight Saturday along with decreasing winds will make Sunday a bit more pleasant day to be on the mountain, but by no means a day for spring skiing. Temperatures will increase into the teens after starting the day around 0F. Winds will also increase later in the day, reaching 70mph by dark. As the day progresses, the potential for snow will increase with snow showers likely developing mid-afternoon.
The main talk about the upcoming days is the major storm tracking its way up the east coast. Currently, predictions about where this storm will go are in disagreement. The main differences in the track of the storm seem to revolve around the interaction of two low pressure systems. How these play out will likely change several times until Sunday evening. Looking at various models, there are historical events similar to what we are looking at that produced double digit snow totals. Only time will tell.
Look for the Weekend Update this evening to discuss the current state of affairs in the Ravines.